WON
Fulham – Liverpool 3–2
- Pick
- Home
- Odds taken
- 4.50
- Fair odds
- 4.42
- Value
- +1.8 %
Football value bets · 18 European leagues
Find the price the bookmaker got wrong.
Oddkeel turns the sharpest market odds into a fair price for every match and shows you, in one dashboard, where a bookmaker pays more than it should.
- Fair odds for 1X2 and over/under 2.5 goals
- Live comparison of bookmaker prices
- Tested on three seasons before launch
- Bet tracker with closing line value
18+ only. Betting involves risk. Please play responsibly.
| Match | Pick | Fair | Best | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe – AthleticLa Liga | Draw | 2.67 | 2.75 | +3.2 % |
| Derby – StokeChampionship | Draw | 2.91 | 3.00 | +3.1 % |
| Waalwijk – HeraclesEredivisie | Draw | 3.59 | 3.70 | +3.1 % |
| Plymouth – CoventryChampionship | Home | 4.67 | 4.75 | +1.7 % |
| Verona – CagliariSerie A | Away | 3.44 | 3.50 | +1.7 % |
Coverage
Football first, done properly
We start with one sport and the leagues where prices are liquid enough to test properly.
4 leagues
England
Premier League, Championship, League One, League Two
2 leagues
Germany
Bundesliga, 2. Bundesliga
6 leagues
Spain, Italy, France
La Liga, Segunda, Serie A, Serie B, Ligue 1, Ligue 2
6 leagues
More of Europe
Eredivisie, Pro League, Primeira Liga, Süper Lig, Super League Greece, Scottish Premiership
Coming later
South America
Brazil, Argentina and more, included in the same plan once released
How it works
Three steps, every match day
Take the sharpest price
Some bookmakers let professionals bet big and move their lines fast. Their odds are the best estimate of the true chance. We remove their margin to get the fair price.
Compare every bookmaker
For each match we line up the fair price against the odds other bookmakers offer right now, across 1X2 and over/under 2.5 goals.
Flag the value, track the result
When a bookmaker pays more than the fair price, it lands on your value list. Every flagged bet is logged with odds, result and closing line value.
Examples
Real picks from the backtest
Three bets the method flagged in the 2024/25 season, including one that lost. Value bets lose often; the edge shows up over hundreds of bets.
WON
Portsmouth – Derby 2–2
- Pick
- Draw
- Odds taken
- 3.25
- Fair odds
- 3.09
- Value
- +5.0 %
LOST
QPR – Swansea 1–2
- Pick
- Draw
- Odds taken
- 3.50
- Fair odds
- 3.25
- Value
- +7.8 %
Historical examples from the backtest. Past results do not guarantee future results.
Tested
Tested on three full seasons
We ran the method over 2022/23 to 2024/25 in the 18 European leagues we cover, at the Bet365 prices available at the time, with a flat stake of one unit per bet.
| Season | Bets | Return | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022/23 | 375 | +0.2 % | +1.4 % |
| 2023/24 | 411 | +7.1 % | +1.3 % |
| 2024/25 | 333 | +20.5 % | +1.2 % |
| Total | 1,119 | +8.8 % | +1.3 % |
Backtest results, not live results. CLV: how much better the price taken was than the fair closing price. Odds were recorded a few days before kick-off; live prices move, and some bookmakers restrict accounts that win regularly. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Live results will be published in full after launch.
Pricing
Simple pricing
No tips sold one by one, no upsells. Tools and data for your own decisions.
Register
Create your account with the registration form. You land on the waiting list.
Message us on Telegram
Send us a direct message on Telegram with the email you registered with. We arrange the payment with you there.
Get access
As soon as your payment is confirmed, we activate your account and you can log in to the dashboard.
Telegram channel
Free
- News on open spots first
- Updates on new leagues and sports
- Live results as they come in
Football
€99 per month
- All 18 European football leagues
- Fair odds for 1X2 and over/under 2.5
- Live value list with bookmaker comparison
- Bet tracker with closing line value
- South American leagues when released
All sportsComing soon
€249 per month
- Everything in Football
- More sports, such as tennis, basketball and ice hockey
- Fair odds and value list for every sport
- One dashboard and one bet tracker for all bets
FAQ
Straight answers
Do you guarantee profits?
No. Nobody can. A value bet is a bet where the price is better than the true chance suggests. Over many bets that should pay off, but single bets lose all the time and losing weeks will happen.
How often do the picks win?
In the backtest about 3 in 10 flagged bets won, at average odds around 3.7. Most value is found on draws and underdogs, so expect to lose more bets than you win. The profit comes from the prices.
How do I pay?
Register first, then message us on Telegram with the email address you used. We arrange the payment with you directly and activate your account as soon as it is confirmed. The membership runs month by month and you can cancel anytime.
Do you take bets?
No. Oddkeel is an information service. You decide whether and where to bet, with licensed bookmakers in your country.
Why can bookmakers be wrong?
Many bookmakers copy prices and adjust them slowly. When the sharp market moves and they have not caught up yet, their odds can be higher than they should be. That gap is what Oddkeel looks for.
Can I join right now?
We are keeping the number of members limited. Register to join the waiting list and we approve new members in order as spots open up. Our Telegram channel announces new spots first.
Who can use Oddkeel?
Adults aged 18 or over only. If betting stops being fun, please stop and see our responsible gambling page.
Be first on board
Register to join the waiting list, and follow our Telegram channel for news and open spots.
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